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Analysis

Where is the urgency? Surface fleet review delay only leaves us more vulnerable
September 27 2023
Revelations that the government’s response to the findings of its own surface fleet review is still some time off, ultimately spells trouble for...
Half an insurance policy? AUKUS SSNs more about post-Taiwan than anything else
While much has been made about the “offensive’ nature of Australia’s future nuclear-powered submarine fleet as a form of national insurance policy, it is...
September 26 2023
Same, same but different? Learning lessons from similar ‘Middle Powers’
The true strength of contemporary “Middle Powers” is in their aggregated mass. However, every now and then, one outlier sets fire to the rule book and embarks on...
September 25 2023
‘Australianising’ industry policy to deliver national resilience and security
For Australian policymakers, the attractiveness of simply transplanting tried-and-true methods from overseas in an attempt to re-industrialise fails to account for one key...
September 22 2023
Does Australia need to embrace industrial policy, and what makes a good one?
The very idea of “industrial policy” is a contentious one in contemporary policy circles, with fears of “central planning” often rearing their head....
September 21 2023
America’s ‘lacklustre’ Ukrainian response is a symptom of longer standing issues
Despite committing more than US$100 billion (AU$155.5 billion) in aid to Ukraine, the materiel response of the United States has raised questions about the capacity of the...
September 20 2023
The game is afoot: China’s pitch to developing world ‘backed’ by UN secretary-general
We are now well and truly living in the dawn of the age of the multipolar world of competing designs and ambitions for the global stage – with Xi Jinping’s China...
September 18 2023
In focus: The Echidna Strategy and Australia’s pursuit of peace and power
Australia’s modern history has been defined by our national pursuit of peace, power, and stability in our isolated part of the world, often deferring to great powers....
September 15 2023
Time isn’t on our side – Accelerating our response to China
Both Washington and Canberra have long sought to avoid making hard and costly decisions about responding to China’s rising antagonism. Now, it might cost us more as...
September 14 2023
Hedging our bets? Concerns mount about Modi’s ‘new’ India
With China’s antagonism rising, the Western world has sought to hedge against the worst instincts of the rising superpower with India emerging as the favoured option....
September 13 2023
Mutually assured destruction: War over Taiwan would decimate both economies
The concept of mutually assured destruction (MAD) has long been associated with great power competition and nuclear conflagration. Now, thanks to globalisation, we have...
September 12 2023
‘Steady and sturdy’ or managed decline? Confronting the national security implications of our declining economic performance
There is a growing recognition among Australia’s public policy and national security communities that our increasingly lacklustre long-term economic performance will...
September 08 2023
Pull our weight: Renewed concerns emerge over new wave of US ‘isolationism’
For most people alive today, they have no lived memory of the world without America’s role as the “Leader of the Free World”. However, the American peace of...
September 06 2023
Yes, this ‘Cold War’ is different – Australia needs to act accordingly
Where the previous Cold War was characterised by an ideological competition between the US and Soviet Union, backed by military and economic power, this new “Cold...
September 05 2023
Japanese defence budget reveals major expansion in naval, air forces
Amid mounting tensions in the Western Pacific, Japan’s Kishida administration has doubled down on the nation’s defence spending, committing US$53 billion...
September 04 2023
Beijing’s economic fragility and its implications for the Indo-Pacific
Despite reassurances from Xi Jinping’s government about the enduring vitality and stability of the Chinese economy, the data and reality on the ground reveal a...
September 01 2023
Questions mount over America’s capacity, resolve on Ukraine support
Despite repeated assurances that the US will continue its support for Ukraine “for as long as it takes”, concerns are now emerging that America’s capacity...
August 31 2023
Forward defence, archipelagic deterrence or continental defence? The reality is a bit mixed
Despite the findings of the Defence Strategic Review and the seeming reorientation of Australia towards a concept of “National Defence” and the creation of a...
August 30 2023
Intergenerational report reveals mixed bag for Defence spending over long-term
The latest intergenerational report has revealed a mixed bag for Defence spending over the next four decades, raising questions about the nation’s capacity to fund its...
August 29 2023
Enter the multipolar era: BRICS expands members in challenge to world order
We have entered the next stage in the evolution of the multipolar world with the Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS)-led economic and political bloc adding...
August 28 2023